000 02017nab a2200217 4500
005 20260608201742.0
008 260224s2012 xxu ing
041 _aInglés
100 1 _aKhosravi, M.
_953188
100 1 _aRostami, B.
_943421
100 1 _aFatemi, S.
_953189
245 0 0 _aUncertainty Analysis of a Fractured Reservoir's Performance
_bA Case Study
260 _a
_b
_cmayo/jun. 2012
270 _a15/05/2013 ; 15/05/2013
300 _a10 p. ; 423-433
520 _aTraducción del resúmen del autor: In recent years, the oil industry has given great importance to reservoir management and reservoir uncertainty analysis. The development of a method that can model and quantify uncertainties in reservoir simulation studies in an efficient and practical way is clearly desirable. Different approaches such as Response Surface Methodology (RSM) and Monte-Carlo simulation have been used to address the uncertainties. In this paper, response surface method is used to realize the most influential parameters on pressure drop and recovery factor changes, regarding their practical levels of uncertainties during the development of fractured reservoir model. The present approach is performed to magnify the significant parameters and developing compatible and more realistic proxy equation for forecasting oil recovery from a typical low permeable fractured reservoir. The proxy model allows Monte-Carlo analysis to determine sensitivities and the quantification of the impact of uncertainty on production forecasts. Results indicate that the oil recovery is more sensitive to aquifer strength, fracture permeability and block height. In addition, however the interaction between other parameters, such as matrix size, fracture permeability and aquifer volume, showed a degree of importance during this analysis. Monte-Carlo analysis forecasts wide range of oil recovery for this field development.
581 _a3
773 _g
942 _cARTICULO
999 _c187694
_d187694