000 01123nab a2200205 4500
005 20260608201732.0
008 260224s2008 xxu
100 1 _aFeng, Lianyong
_950393
100 1 _aLi, Junchen
_950394
100 1 _aPang, Xiongqi
_950395
245 0 0 _aChina's oil reserve forecast and analysis based on peak oil models
260 _a
_b
_cnov. 2008
270 _a23/06/2011 ; 23/06/2011
300 _a5 p. ; 4149-4153
520 _aTranscripción del resumen del autor. In order to forecast future oil production it is necessary to know the size of the reserves and use models. In this article, we use the typical Peak Oil models, the Hu-Chen-Zhang model usually called HCZ model and the Hubbert model, which have been used commonly for forecasting in China and the world, to forecast China's oil Ultimate Recovery (URR). The former appears to give more realistic results based on an URR for China of 15.64 billion tons. The study leads to some suggestions for new policies to meet the unfolding energy situation.
581 _a11
773 _g
942 _cARTICULO
999 _c183035
_d183035