000 01802nab a2200193 4500
005 20260520000814.0
008 260224s2008 xxu
210 _a3925-3939
245 0 0 _aNuclear hydrogen
_bAn assessment of product flexibility and market viability
260 _a
_b
_cOct. 2008
270 _a2009-04-13 ; 2009-04-13
300 _a13 p. ; 3961-3973
520 _aTranscripción del resumen publicado por el autor: Nuclear energy has the potential to play an important role in the future energy system as a large-scale source of hydrogen without greenhouse gas emissions. Thus far, economic studies of nuclear hydrogen tend to focus on the levelized cost of hydrogen without accounting for the risks and uncertainties that potential investors would face. We present a financial model based on real options theory to assess the profitability of different nuclear hydrogen production technologies in evolving electricity and hydrogen markets. The model uses Monte Carlo simulations to represent uncertainty in future hydrogen and electricity prices. It computes the expected value and the distribution of discounted profits from nuclear hydrogen production plants. Moreover, the model quantifies the value of the option to switch between hydrogen and electricity production, depending on what is more profitable to sell. We use the model to analyze the market viability of four potential nuclear hydrogen technologies and conclude that flexibility in output product is likely to add significant economic value for an investor in nuclear hydrogen. This should be taken into account in the development phase of nuclear hydrogen technologies.
581 _a10
773 0 _tEnergy Policy
_g36
942 _cARTICULO
100 1 _aBotterud, Audun
_940785
999 _c169506
_d169506