01243nab a2200205 4500 20260520000319.0 260224s2015 xxu ing Inglés What to expect when you are prospecting How new information changes our estimate of the chance of success of a prospect dic. 2015 03/03/2016 ; 03/03/2016 12 p. ; 2159-2171 Transcripción del resumen del autor: There is a common belief that we can expect to add value to a prospect or prospect portfolio by improving the prospect chance of success (Pg) as a consequence of acquiring information and doing work. Established laws of probability dictate that this is incorrect. We do expect new information to add value to the exploration cycle, but not by an expectation of improving the prospect risk. New information may result in an increase or a decrease of Pg, but the expected result (the average of all possible outcomes) is zero change. Moreover, for a typical exploration prospect (Pg). 12 AAPG Bulletin 99 ARTICULO Peel, Frank J. 54257 Brooks, John R.V. 55183 189461 189461 0 0 0 0 257280 BAAB BAAB 2026-03-06 200061697 0 200061697 2026-03-06 00:19:39 2026-03-06 ARTICULO