01745nmc a2200193 4500 20260520010134.0 260224s xxu RIGOROUS AND INNOVATIVE RISK QUANTIFICATION FOR BASIN MODELLING 15/05/2009 ; 16/04/2007 7 p. Assessing petroleum systems using deterministic basin modeling techniques is nowadays widely used in exploration. Decision makers need to rely on the outcomes of basin models whose main results should therefore feature a probabilistic distribution expressing the associated risk. Basin modeling aims at accounting as rigorously as possible for the impact of the numerous parameters controlling petroleum systems, including their subtle coupled effects. Following this, an innovative approach using the experimental design and response surface methodology has been developed and made available within basin modeling tools. The workflow consists first in screening the set of parameters potentially controlling the outcome under evaluation (e.g.: pressure in a targeted reservoir, volume in place) and second in expressing the probability distribution of this outcome taking into account the uncertainty associated to the most influential parameters. This approach is exemplified on a basin model case study from a frontier exploration area of the deep offshore Campos Basin, Brazil. CONGTP Pontet, Matthieu 37644 Baudino, Roger 37645 Laigle, Jean-Marie 37646 Rio Oil & Gas (2006 sept. 11-14 : Rio de Janeiro, Brazil) 37349 166225 166225 https://biblioteca.iapg.org.ar/ArchivosAdjuntos/Oil&Gas_Rio_2006/IBP_1350.pdf 0 0 0 0 234044 BVIAPG BVIAPG 2026-03-05 200040945 0 200040945 2026-03-05 14:45:39 2026-03-05 ARCHIVO